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The Big Picture: A Market That's Run Far Ahead Equity markets, especially in the U.S., have had superb gains the past two years. A lot of that was fueled by AI optimism, solid corporate earnings, and central banks…
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Why rate cuts are on the table Over 2024–2025 inflation in several advanced economies eased toward targets, and some labour-market measures started to show softening. That combination gives central banks room to start trimming policy rates from the…
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1. Geopolitics-Markets Nexus under Question Geopolitical tensions—wars, trade tensions, sanctions, or diplomatic tensions—have the potential to create a deep impact on global markets. Geopolitical tensions are attractive to investors as they affect: Supply Cha…
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1. Meaning of a Recession and What it Represents The recession has been generally defined as a time when the economy is slowing down, typically characterized by two or more consecutive quarters of declining growth in GDP. During…
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1. AI Investment Surge in 2025 Artificial Intelligence (AI) has departed from the niche technology to become the central driver of business strategy and investor interest. Companies in recent years have accelerated investment in AI across industries—anything f…
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1. The Backdrop: Why Tech Stocks Have Been on the Rise Technology stocks have risen sharply in recent years as a result of several events: Artificial Intelligence (AI) Boom: AI companies, ranging from chipmakers to software platforms, have…
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The setup: Stocks are expensive again Over the past year, global stock markets — especially in the U.S. and India — have soared. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Nifty 50 have all hit fresh highs, powered by themes…
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1) How trade policy and tariffs hit markets (the mechanics) Tariffs are effectively a tax on imports. They raise input costs for companies that rely on foreign components, reduce demand for exported goods, and change profit margins and…
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1) Why tariffs matter now (the big-picture drivers) Two things changed recently: (a) major economies — especially the U.S. — raised or threatened broad tariffs in 2025, and (b) geopolitical friction (notably U.S.–China tensions) pushed firms to re-think…