When might ...
In August 2025, Indian equity markets slid significantly, marking their sixth consecutive week of losses—the longest such streak in five years. Key drivers behind this downturn included: Surprise U.S. tariffs: Former President Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Indian exports, raising trade uncertainty aRead more
In August 2025, Indian equity markets slid significantly, marking their sixth consecutive week of losses—the longest such streak in five years. Key drivers behind this downturn included:
Surprise U.S. tariffs: Former President Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Indian exports, raising trade uncertainty and damaging investor confidence .
Foreign investor outflows (FPI): Large capital withdrawals intensified the selling pressure .
Weak corporate earnings: The April–June 2025 quarter revealed sluggish earnings trends—marking the fifth straight quarter of single-digit growth, particularly dragging down banks and IT sectors .
Overstretched valuations: High price-to-earnings metrics added to vulnerability amid an uncertain macro backdrop .
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Recovery isn’t expected immediately, but the following periods offer potential turnaround points: 1. Mid‑2025 to Year‑End 2025 A Reuters poll forecasts the Nifty 50 could rise to 26,500 by the end of 2025, with further gains to 28,450 by end‑2026. Similarly, the BSE Sensex may climb to 95,000 by endRead more
Recovery isn’t expected immediately, but the following periods offer potential turnaround points:
1. Mid‑2025 to Year‑End 2025
A Reuters poll forecasts the Nifty 50 could rise to 26,500 by the end of 2025, with further gains to 28,450 by end‑2026. Similarly, the BSE Sensex may climb to 95,000 by end‑2026—though this assumes valuations stabilize and earnings improve .
2. June 2026
Morgan Stanley projects a Sensex rally to 89,000 (~10% upside from current levels), supported by structural growth, improved inflation outlook, stronger domestic consumption, and renewed FPI inflows .
3. Post‑September 2025
Samvitti Capital’s Prabhakar Kudva anticipates the next bullish phase could start after September 2025, contingent on stable economic fundamentals, corporate earnings recovery, and consistent policy clarity .
Timeline Why It Could Improve
Late 2025 Forecasted Nifty propelling to ~26.5k; recovery aided by “buy-the-dip” behavior
See lessFrom October 2025 onward Structural economic factors, potential rebound if earnings and inflation stabilize
By June 2026 Morgan Stanley sees Sensex at ~89k on sustained macroeconomic improvement