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daniyasiddiquiEditor’s Choice
Asked: 27/12/2025In: Stocks Market

Are IT and tech stocks still good long-term bets?

IT and tech stocks

equity marketsgrowth investinginvestment risklong-term investingmarket trendsstock market strategy
  1. daniyasiddiqui
    daniyasiddiqui Editor’s Choice
    Added an answer on 27/12/2025 at 3:38 pm

    Are IT & Tech stocks good long-term bets? Technology stocks have remained some of the most profitable investment opportunities in markets for many decades. These stocks have continued to reap the benefits associated with the adoption of technology in most industries. However, due to the increaseRead more

    Are IT & Tech stocks good long-term bets?

    Technology stocks have remained some of the most profitable investment opportunities in markets for many decades. These stocks have continued to reap the benefits associated with the adoption of technology in most industries. However, due to the increased volatility in markets, layoffs in technology companies, and changes in interest rates, most investors have continued to wonder if technology stocks are worth considering for investment. The answer is yes, but there are many considerations.

    Why IT and Technology Have Historically Done Well: Analyzing Market Trends

    Scalability is an area in which tech companies excel. Once the product or service has been developed, the same can be replicated and marketed to millions of people in a scalable manner. This has enabled many tech companies to report stellar margins and cash flows. Furthermore, the scope of tech innovation has continued to grow and expand from enterprise software, the cloud, and cyber to payments, analytics, and most recently, artificial intelligence.

    A second reason for this resilience is relevance. Information technology is no longer a supporting function; it has become integral to business activities. Such relevance has, at all times, ensured a stable demand for IT services and products.

    Impact of Economic Cycles and Interest Rates

    Although technology stocks offer many advantages, the fact remains that these stocks are not isolated from the economic cycles when the interest rates are increasing, which puts pressure on the technology stocks as many technology stocks derive their major value from the future stocks, which become less desirable when the interest costs are higher.

    Despite this, the short-term correction of valuations does not necessarily have any effect on the long-term argument. Over the long term, those businesses that continue to experience innovation and revenue growth with healthy balance sheets will ultimately start performing well once the macroeconomic conditions have stabilized.

    Innovation Is Still a Powerful Tailwind
    Some people might look

    The new future for technology continues to be driven by innovation. Topics such as artificial intelligence, automation, cloud migration, and digital infrastructure are more than just passing fads – they are paradigm shifts in how our economies actually function. From healthcare to finance to manufacturing and into government, organizations are leveraging technology tools to achieve more efficiency and cost savings.

    This continuing innovation loop indicates that the demand for technology-based services and products is probably going to be there for a long time to come.

    Not all tech stocks are created equal

    A mistake often committed by investors is to categorize all technology stocks as one group. This is because technology stocks are comprised of both mature companies with adequate Cash Flow Generation, as well as relatively new ones that are struggling to reach scale and become profitable. Mature technology stocks can be less risky as compared to relatively new ones.

    Long-term investors need to look at fundamentals like quality of revenues, profitability, customer retention, and ability to withstand technological changes. Well-governed companies, diversified customer bases, and resilient businesses will stand better in tough times.

    Investing in the Stock Market: Risks That Investors

    Although the future looks promising, there are still some concerns. The increasing rate of technology change can lead to the products being made obsolete in the future. The areas of data protection and competition regulation could also see more regulation in the coming times.

    Additionally, the expectations of investors also play a significant role. Tech stocks show the best performance when expectations are not unachievable. When expectations run too high, correction periods can be severe.

    Tech Trends in a Long-Term Portfolio

    For long-term investors, IT stocks could still be used, but should not form a major part of the overall portfolio. IT stocks fall under technology stocks, and should be well spread out. A proper strategy like systematic investment could help avoid market timing errors.

    Instead of pursuing short-term trends, successful investors would be better off investing in technology companies that show good execution, flexibility, and vision.

    Final Takeaway

    The technology and technology stocks continue to be an attractive long-term investment opportunity, not because they are unaffected by market downturns, but because technology remains an integral part of the future of economies and enterprises. There may be ups and downs in this sector, but this sector has resilience in terms of innovation, relevance, and scalability, which make it an attractive addition to an investment plan focused on growth.fv

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daniyasiddiquiEditor’s Choice
Asked: 27/12/2025In: Stocks Market

Are new-age IPOs worth investing in?

new-age IPOs worth investing in

equity marketsfinancial decision-makinggrowth stocksinvestment riskmarket trends
  1. daniyasiddiqui
    daniyasiddiqui Editor’s Choice
    Added an answer on 27/12/2025 at 2:43 pm

    Are New Age IPOs Worth Investing In? New-age IPOs: The new-age IPOs, or technology-driven companies that function on platforms, have witnessed tremendous investment interest over the last few years. The new-age IPO offers rapid growth and the disruption of conventional sectors through its associatioRead more

    Are New Age IPOs Worth Investing In?

    New-age IPOs: The new-age IPOs, or technology-driven companies that function on platforms, have witnessed tremendous investment interest over the last few years. The new-age IPO offers rapid growth and the disruption of conventional sectors through its association with the digital economy. However, their performance post-listing has been erratic, and an important question that arises here is whether new-age IPOs are actually worthy of investment or just high-risk stories?

    Recent Developments in New-Age IPOs

    New age IPOs are largely those which are based on digital platforms. The key characteristic of new age firms is that they are more concerned about market share and scalability as opposed to more traditional firms which are more concerned about profitability. It would be clear from above examples that the kind of firms which have come to the Indian market in the “food delivery,” fintech, “e-commerce,” logistics, “SaaS based” spaces are examples of firms belonging to this segment. Some prominent examples of firms which belong to this segment are Zomato, Paytm, and Nykaa.

    The Core Investment Attraction

    What new-age IPOs offer the most is the potential for growth. New-age companies target massive untapped markets and use technology to grow-big, fast. If achieved, these companies can establish powerful network effects, high brand recall, and high operating leverage.

    There is also early access. As IPO investors, individuals can gain early access to companies that have the potential to influence consumer behaviors or business models over many decades. It may seem similar to early-stage investments in what are today global technology giants to investors with early access.

    The Profitability Challenge

    Amongst one of the most significant apprehensions associated with new age IPOs is that they are not profitable on a constant basis. A significant number of IPO-giving organizations are still posting losses. These organizations are of the view that as soon as they are able to create mass, their profits will not be a concern.

    High customer acquisition costs, a focus on discounts for growth, as well as competitiveness could lead to a lag in achieving profitability. It is essential for investors to assess whether the company’s loss could be strategic, temporary, or structural.

    Valuation: Growth Versus Reality

    Valuation can be another pertinent consideration in this context. In general, new-age IPOs tend to be valued either by looking at future projections instead of looking at their present financial performances. Concepts like price/earning ratio can’t be applicable in such scenarios.

    This means that stock valuations are sensitive to market sentiment. If market sentiment is optimistic, stock values can jump. But if market conditions become tighter, as in the case of increased interest rates, these stocks can see sharp corrections.

    Governance and Business Model Risks

    But, along with the numbers, the investors need to look at the quality of governance, transparency, and execution skills. A good idea is insufficient. The caliber of the management’s leadership in controlling expenses, adjusting the strategy, and communicating effectively with the investors matters a lot.

    Viability in business model also raises questions. Certain businesses rely to some extent on financing or favorable markets. They may find difficulty in entering the profits phase if financing becomes costly or markets change.

    Who Should Consider Investing?

    New age IPOs may not be ideal for all investors. New age IPOs are generally more suitable for investors who:

    • Have a high risk tolerance
    • Understand technology and platform economics
    • Can stay invested through volatility
    • Willing to allocate their portfolio partially

    However, for a more conservative investor who is interested in income or return on investment, conventional businesses could be more suitable.

    A Balanced Perspective

    The IPOs belonging to the new age are not wealth creators per se or concepts that should be shunned altogether as investment options. They lie at the point where innovation meets risk. While some will be able to develop themselves into a robust, profitable entity, others could end up struggling to remain justified by their valuation multiples.

    It is all about selectivity. Investors need to sift through the hype, learn about the fundamentals, and have realistic expectations. If done with caution, innovative IPOs can have a limited but important role in an investor’s diversified portfolio.

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daniyasiddiquiEditor’s Choice
Asked: 27/09/2025In: Stocks Market

Are current valuations too stretched? How do we interpret metrics like CAPE, P/E, or market cap / GDP?

CAPE, P/E, or market cap / GDP

cape ratioequity marketsmarket cap to gdpp/e ratiostock valuationsvaluation metrics
  1. daniyasiddiqui
    daniyasiddiqui Editor’s Choice
    Added an answer on 27/09/2025 at 4:31 pm

    What Do We Mean by "Valuations Are Stretched"? When we describe the market as being "stretched," we generally mean: "Stock prices are rising more rapidly than earnings, fundamentals, or the economy as a whole justify." In other words, investors can be overpaying for too little in return. That can haRead more

    What Do We Mean by “Valuations Are Stretched”?

    When we describe the market as being “stretched,” we generally mean:

    • “Stock prices are rising more rapidly than earnings, fundamentals, or the economy as a whole justify.”
    • In other words, investors can be overpaying for too little in return.

    That can happen when:

    • Interest rates are low and everybody’s searching for returns.
    • There’s more optimism than it deserves about what the future holds (e.g., with AI or tech hype).
    • Or investors just forget that markets are cyclical.

    Valuation Metrics (And How to Interpret Them)

    1. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

    • Most widely used metric. It indicates how much investors are paying for $1 of earnings.
    • P/E = Stock Price / Earnings per Share

    Example: If a stock is selling at $100 and has earnings of $5 per share, its P/E is 20.

     What’s “Normal”?

    • Traditionally, the S&P 500’s average P/E is about 15–16.

    As of late 2025, it’s currently sitting at 20–24, depending on the source and whether forward or trailing earnings are in use.

     Why It Can Be Misleading:

    • During periods of high inflation or recession, earnings decline, making the P/E artificially shoot up.
    • Or during booms, earnings increase dramatically, making the P/E look sane even as prices are rising quickly.
    • Bottom Line: An above-average P/E means the market is anticipating a lot of future growth—possibly, perhaps not.

    2. Cyclically Adjusted P/E (CAPE) Ratio

    • Also known as the Shiller P/E, this calculation averages earnings over 10 years to account for business cycles.
    • CAPE = Price / 10-year inflation-adjusted average earnings

    What’s “Normal”?

    • Historical average is about 16–17.
    • 2000 (dot-com bubble): 44.
    • In 2008 (crash): it dropped to 15.
    • In 2025: it’s about 30–33 — historically high.

    What It Tells Us:

    • CAPE removes short-term noise, giving a longer-term view of whether markets are overheating.
    • Right now, it’s saying: “We’re well above average.”

    But critics argue that:

    • The economy has changed (tech, global markets, interest rates).
    • Comparing to historical CAPE may no longer be apples-to-apples.

    Bottom Line: CAPE is sounding the alarm. Not so much a crash, but higher risk.

    3. Market Cap-to-GDP Ratio (“Buffett Indicator”)

    A favorite of Warren Buffett’s.

    • It’s how much the combined value of all publicly traded stocks compares to the GDP (economic output) of a country.
    • If the market is valued significantly more than what the economy actually produces, it’s said to be overvalued.

     What’s “Normal”?

    • Historically: roughly 80%–100% is acceptable.
    • Today in the U.S.: It’s well over 160%.
    • In India (as of late 2025): Roughly 120%+, also higher than long-run average.

    Interpretation

    • It means investors are betting the market will grow faster than the economy really is, which would be bullish.
    • But again, again, globalization and intangibles (e.g., software/IP) mean that GDP isn’t everything.

    Bottom Line: Market cap-to-GDP is saying the market is hot.

    So… Are We in a Bubble?

    Not necessarily.

    Yes, valuations are high—historically high, actually. But don’t think for a moment that a crash is imminent. It just means the margin for error is thin. If:

    • Earnings struggle…
    • Inflation continues high…
    • Rates rise further…
    • Or geopolitical developments spook markets…
    • …then a correction is likelier.

     But Context Matters

     In 2000 (Dot-Com Bubble):

    • Few firms reported earnings.
    • Stocks such as Pets.com were worth billions based on fantasies.
    • CAPE was stratospheric.

    In 2025

    Most high-valuation companies today (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia) are very profitable.

    • They dominate AI, cloud, chips, and other disruption domains.
    • They have cash-rich balance sheets, not speculation.

    So, while the ratios might look stretched, the underlying fundamentals are far healthier than they ever were in past bubbles.

     What Should Investors Take Away From This?

    High Valuation = High Expectation

    Investors are pricing in solid earnings, innovation, and expansion. If those hopes are met or exceeded, stocks can still go up—even at high levels.

     But It Also Implies Greater Risk

    There is less room for disappointment. If interest rates increase further, or if earnings growth slows, prices can fall sharply.

    It’s a Stock Picker’s Market

    EWide indices may be overvalued. But not all stocks or sectors are overvalued. Look for:

    • Undervalued industries (energy, financials, etc.)
    • Growth at reasonable prices (GARP)
    • Global diversification

     Last Word

    Are valuations stretched?

    Yes—versus history. But history doesn’t repeat. It rhymes.

    The trick is not to panic, but to understand the risk/reward trade-off. When valuations are high:

    • Be selective.
    • Be disciplined.

    Hold on to companies with real earnings, good balance sheets, and a lasting advantage.

    Valuations alone do not cause a crash. But they can tell you how susceptible—or resilient—the market will be when the unexpected arrives.

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